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April, 2017  // Posts published in April, 2017

Shopify’s Growth Trend Will Continue With Higher Pricing Model (SHOP)

Research Question: Will Shopify’s new variable-pricing model for Shopify Plus slow its growth or be a profit catalyst? Companies: CRM, PYPL, SAP, TSE:SHOP/SHOP By: David Franklin Click here to download report (.pdf)   Summary of Findings Shopify Inc.’s (TSE:SHOP/SHOP) growth trend will not be hurt by the new variable-pricing model for its Shopify Plus enterprise […]

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Apr 27 2017 Automotive, Consumer Goods

Advance Auto Parts Makes Incremental Progress, Amazon Is a Far-Off Threat (AAP)

Research Question: Is Advance Auto Parts succeeding with its operational improvements in the commercial market to drive its turnaround and fend off rising online competition? Companies: AAP, AMZN, AZO, EBAY, GM, GPC, IEP, KMX, LKQ, ORLY, TEN, WMT   By: Reverdy Johnson Click here to download report (.pdf)   Summary of Findings Advance Auto Parts […]

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Lending Club in a Tight Spot Despite Demand for Online Loans (LC)

Research Question: Is the appetite for consumer credit loans from borrowers and banks robust enough to return Lending Club to growth in 2017? Companies: AMZN, C, DFS, FIG, FITB, GS, JEF, JPM, LC, STI By: Seth Agulnick Click here to download report (.pdf)   Summary of Findings Lending Club Corp. (LC) faces powerful competitive and […]

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Ulta No Quick Fix for Estee Lauder’s MAC, But Too Faced on Track for Solid Growth (EL, ULTA)

Research Question: Can Estée Lauder penetrate and compete in the open-sell makeup channel? Companies: EL, ELF, FB, JWN, LVMUY, LRLCY, LVMH, M, REV, TYO:4911, TYO:4922, ULTA By: Reverdy Johnson Click here to download report (.pdf)   Summary of Findings The Estée Lauder Companies Inc.’s (EL) efforts to successfully enter the open-sell makeup channel will not […]

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Tech Trends: Facebook Could Be Networking Itself Toward Trouble (FB)

Research Question: Are Facebook’s large data center networking expansions, which are geared toward heavy data loads like video and messaging, putting the company under pressure? Companies: AMZN, ANET, FB, GOOG/GOOGL, MSFT, SNAP, TWTR By: John Harrington Click here to download report (.pdf)   Summary Facebook Inc. (FB) may be painting itself into a precarious corner in […]

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Drilling and Completions Demand Up, Engine Orders Lagging

Research Question: How did the recent oil price decline affect demand and pricing for oilfield goods and services? Companies: CAT, CMI, HAL,HP, NBR,PTEN, RES, SLB Click here to download report (.pdf) Highlights The recent oil price pullback to under $50 per barrel had some industry players wondering if demand and pricing for oilfield goods and services […]

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Deckers Progresses with Its DTC Initiative, But Its UGG Brand May Not Benefit (DECK)

Research Question: Will Deckers’ direct-to-consumer initiative help its UGG brand survive the sales and traffic decline of department stores and malls? Companies: AMZN, BABA, BOOT, BRK.A/B, BZUN, DECK, GOOG/GOOGL, NKE, WMT, WWW By: David Franklin Click here to download report (.pdf)   Summary of Findings Deckers Outdoor Corp.’s (DECK) direct-to-consumer (DTC) initiative is unlikely to […]

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Bank of the Ozarks Is Aggressive But Not Reckless in Key Markets (OZRK, HOMB)

Research Question: Are Bank of the Ozarks and Home Bancshares taking on outsized risk in order to gain share in the New York City and South Florida multifamily and condo construction markets? Companies: ARI, BAC, BK, BXMT, COF, CSE, EPA:KN, HOMB, ISBC, JPM, LADR, MTB, OZRK, PACW, STWD, TD, VNO, WFC By: Seth Agulnick Click […]

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Grubhub Feeling the Heat from UberEATS and Other Delivery Services (GRUB)

Research Question: Will Grubhub fend off UberEATS and Amazon? Companies: AMZN, GRPN, GRUB, SQ, YELP   By: Reverdy Johnson Click here to download report (.pdf)   Summary of Findings Grubhub Inc. (GRUB) faces mounting pressure from competitors and is finding it more difficult to fight them off. This worrisome trend for the company is a […]

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Microsoft Cloud License Shift A Bolt Of Lightning (MSFT)

Companies: MSFT   By: John Harrington Click here to download report (.pdf) Summary Good for Microsoft. Streamlines an unwieldy, last-gen sales channel. Bad for excess partners clinging to old on-prem software licensing model. Company expands large enterprise direct sales, eliminating bottlenecks. SMB deals left for channel to chase. Resellers are pitted against each other to […]

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